Election Night Dumb*sses

I'm live-blogging from Schneeworld Corporate HQ. We have the nerve center tuned into national election coverage. As it stands, there are 207 Electoral Votes for Obama and 135 for McCain.

Montana, Indiana,  Virgina, North Carolina and Florida are all "too close to call". Given that California is going to go for Obama (just like Texas went for Texas), that will put Obama at 207 + 55 = 262. Obama needs 8 EVs to clinch it. Probabilititically, this thing is OVER. This isn't a "Dewey defeats Truman" moment. This is pure probability. With the exception of Montana, any one of the "too close to calls" would put Obama over the top. And no one on the boob-tube has even mentioned this. Heck, Colorado has 9 EVs and is currently reporting 25% with a 56% to 42% Obama advantage.

I get probability. I understand distributions and the future isn't set in stone. But this thing is over and no one is talking about it. Even as a probability.

Dumb*sses.

November 04, 2008 by Brent Schneeman

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